Live โ€บ Cook Islands โ€บ Avarua
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Avarua Population 2026

Cook Islands โ€ข --:--:--

๐Ÿ“Š Base data: 2026-05-20 โ€ข Sources: UN World Population Prospects & World Bank โ€ข Model updated May 2026

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Births Today
0
+0.0000/sec
Live
Population
4,804
Estimated
Deaths Today
0
-0.0000/sec
Live
๐Ÿ“
Coordinates
-21.207000, -159.771000
๐Ÿ•
Time Zone
Pacific/Rarotonga
UTC-10:00
โค๏ธ
Life Expectancy
72.0 years
๐Ÿ“Š
Birth / Death Rate
12 / 8
per 1,000 / year
How many people live in Avarua? As of September 2026, Avarua, Cook Islands has an estimated population of 4,804. Applying national demographic rates to the city baseline gives a model estimate of about 0 births and 0 deaths per day. Average life expectancy is 72.0 years. Figures are estimates based on UN & World Bank demographic rates โ€” see methodology.
โœ“ Methodology disclosedDataset/model last materially updated May 20, 2026 ยท Methodology ยท Data Sources
๐Ÿ“ŠMethodology: Live counters estimate births and deaths using annual demographic rates applied to the base population. Births are calculated as (population ร— birth rate รท 1000) รท 365.25 รท 24 รท 60 รท 60 per second. Deaths use the same formula with the death rate. Population change is the net difference between cumulative births and deaths since the baseline data date. These are statistical approximations, not live vital-registration data.
โš ๏ธData Transparency: The population figure for Avarua (4,798) comes from our city database (SimpleMaps World Cities Database) and may differ from official census figures. Birth rate (12/1,000) and death rate (8/1,000) are country-level averages from UN World Population Prospects & World Bank applied to all cities in Cook Islands โ€” individual city rates may vary. Life expectancy (72.0 yrs) is also a national estimate. Live counters are mathematical estimates from our baseline date (2026-05-20), not live vital-registration. City data: SimpleMaps World Cities Database. Demographic rates: UN World Population Prospects & World Bank. Displayed times use the closest available timezone data and may be approximate for some cities.
โณ Day Progress โ€” 10h 57m passed 45.7%

๐Ÿ“… Data last updated: May 20, 2026 โ€ข โฑ๏ธ Counters calculate from this baseline

Demographic Model Inputs

๐Ÿ‘ถ
Birth Rate
12.0
per 1,000 / year ยท national input
๐Ÿ“‰
Death Rate
8.0
per 1,000 / year ยท national input
โค๏ธ
Life Expectancy
72.0 yrs
national estimate
๐ŸŒฑ
Natural Change
+0.40%
births minus deaths; migration excluded

Important: These are model inputs, not a measured city age profile. Country-level birth, death and life-expectancy values are applied to the city baseline because city-level vital statistics are not available consistently for every location in this dataset.

Yearly Statistics

๐Ÿ‘ถ
Births per Year
58
โšฐ๏ธ
Deaths per Year
38
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Net Change / Year
+20
๐ŸŒฑ
Natural Increase
0.4%

This Year (2026)

Births This Year
18
Population
4,804
Deaths This Year
12

Baseline & Model Scope

The imported city population is the baseline observation used by this page. We do not present reconstructed historical city populations as observed facts because applying today's national birth/death rates backward would not account for migration, boundary changes or historical rate changes.

Natural-Change Scenario

If current national birth and death rates stayed constant and migration were ignored, the model would produce 4,875 by 2030, 5,074 by 2040, and 5,280 by 2050. This is a scenario calculation, not an official forecast. It assumes constant rates and excludes migration, boundary changes, policy and economic shifts.

Avarua is a city located in Cook Islands. With an estimated population of 4,798 people, it represents a significant urban center within the country. The city operates in the Pacific/Rarotonga time zone (UTC-10:00), placing it among the cities that share this temporal region.

Demographically, Avarua has a growing natural-change estimate. With a birth rate of 12 and a death rate of 8 per 1,000 residents annually, the population is steadily growing. The average life expectancy stands at 72.0 years, reflecting the overall health and living conditions in the region. The model estimates approximately 58 births and 38 deaths per year, resulting in a net change of 20 people per year.

The live counters on this page provide continuously updated estimates based on these annual rates, calculating births, deaths, and population changes from our baseline data date of 2026-05-20. These figures offer valuable insights into the demographic dynamics of Avarua and its position within Cook Islands's urban landscape.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current population of Avarua?
The estimated population of Avarua is 4,804 as of our latest baseline data. Live counters update this estimate in real time based on birth and death rates.
How many people are born in Avarua every day?
Approximately 0 babies are born in Avarua each day, based on an annual birth rate of 12 per 1,000 people.
How many people die in Avarua every day?
Approximately 0 deaths occur in Avarua each day, based on an annual death rate of 8 per 1,000 people.
What is the life expectancy in Avarua?
The average life expectancy in Avarua is 72.0 years, reflecting overall health conditions, healthcare access, and living standards in the region.
What time zone is Avarua in?
Avarua operates in the Pacific/Rarotonga time zone (UTC-10:00). This determines the local time relative to Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).
Is the population of Avarua growing or shrinking?
Using the national birth and death rates applied by this model, the natural-change component is positive. This does not include migration, so it is not a complete city growth forecast.
๐Ÿ“š Data Sources & Citations
All live counters are statistical estimates derived from these sources. Read our full methodology for formulas, assumptions and limitations.
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