Live β€Ί Mexico β€Ί Guerrero Negro
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Guerrero Negro Population 2026

Mexico β€’ --:--:--

πŸ“Š Base data: 2026-05-20 β€’ Sources: UN World Population Prospects & World Bank β€’ Model updated May 2026

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Births Today
0
+0.0000/sec
Live
Population
13,636
Estimated
Deaths Today
0
-0.0000/sec
Live
πŸ“
Coordinates
27.970800, -114.036600
πŸ•
Time Zone
America/Bahia_Banderas
UTC-6:00
❀️
Life Expectancy
75.0 years
πŸ“Š
Birth / Death Rate
15.2 / 6.2
per 1,000 / year
How many people live in Guerrero Negro? As of September 2026, Guerrero Negro, Mexico has an estimated population of 13,636. Applying national demographic rates to the city baseline gives a model estimate of about 1 births and 0 deaths per day. Average life expectancy is 75.0 years. Figures are estimates based on UN & World Bank demographic rates β€” see methodology.
βœ“ Methodology disclosedDataset/model last materially updated May 20, 2026 Β· Methodology Β· Data Sources
πŸ“ŠMethodology: Live counters estimate births and deaths using annual demographic rates applied to the base population. Births are calculated as (population Γ— birth rate Γ· 1000) Γ· 365.25 Γ· 24 Γ· 60 Γ· 60 per second. Deaths use the same formula with the death rate. Population change is the net difference between cumulative births and deaths since the baseline data date. These are statistical approximations, not live vital-registration data.
⚠️Data Transparency: The population figure for Guerrero Negro (13,596) comes from our city database (SimpleMaps World Cities Database) and may differ from official census figures. Birth rate (15.2/1,000) and death rate (6.2/1,000) are country-level averages from UN World Population Prospects & World Bank applied to all cities in Mexico β€” individual city rates may vary. Life expectancy (75.0 yrs) is also a national estimate. Live counters are mathematical estimates from our baseline date (2026-05-20), not live vital-registration. City data: SimpleMaps World Cities Database. Demographic rates: UN World Population Prospects & World Bank. Displayed times use the closest available timezone data and may be approximate for some cities.
⏳ Day Progress β€” 15h 50m passed 66%

πŸ“… Data last updated: May 20, 2026 β€’ ⏱️ Counters calculate from this baseline

Demographic Model Inputs

πŸ‘Ά
Birth Rate
15.2
per 1,000 / year Β· national input
πŸ“‰
Death Rate
6.2
per 1,000 / year Β· national input
❀️
Life Expectancy
75.0 yrs
national estimate
🌱
Natural Change
+0.90%
births minus deaths; migration excluded

Important: These are model inputs, not a measured city age profile. Country-level birth, death and life-expectancy values are applied to the city baseline because city-level vital statistics are not available consistently for every location in this dataset.

Yearly Statistics

πŸ‘Ά
Births per Year
207
⚰️
Deaths per Year
85
πŸ“ˆ
Net Change / Year
+122
🌱
Natural Increase
0.9%

This Year (2026)

Births This Year
67
Population
13,636
Deaths This Year
27

Baseline & Model Scope

The imported city population is the baseline observation used by this page. We do not present reconstructed historical city populations as observed facts because applying today's national birth/death rates backward would not account for migration, boundary changes or historical rate changes.

Natural-Change Scenario

If current national birth and death rates stayed constant and migration were ignored, the model would produce 14,092 by 2030, 15,413 by 2040, and 16,858 by 2050. This is a scenario calculation, not an official forecast. It assumes constant rates and excludes migration, boundary changes, policy and economic shifts.

Guerrero Negro is a city located in Mexico. With an estimated population of 13,596 people, it represents a significant urban center within the country. The city operates in the America/Bahia_Banderas time zone (UTC-6:00), placing it among the cities that share this temporal region.

Demographically, Guerrero Negro has a growing natural-change estimate. With a birth rate of 15.2 and a death rate of 6.2 per 1,000 residents annually, the population is steadily growing. The average life expectancy stands at 75.0 years, reflecting the overall health and living conditions in the region. The model estimates approximately 207 births and 84 deaths per year, resulting in a net change of 123 people per year.

The live counters on this page provide continuously updated estimates based on these annual rates, calculating births, deaths, and population changes from our baseline data date of 2026-05-20. These figures offer valuable insights into the demographic dynamics of Guerrero Negro and its position within Mexico's urban landscape.

Nearby Cities (Within 200km) View Full Page β†’

ℹ️ Distances are calculated using the Haversine formula (straight-line) based on latitude and longitude coordinates. Actual road distances may be significantly longer.

Related Cities

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current population of Guerrero Negro?
The estimated population of Guerrero Negro is 13,636 as of our latest baseline data. Live counters update this estimate in real time based on birth and death rates.
How many people are born in Guerrero Negro every day?
Approximately 1 babies are born in Guerrero Negro each day, based on an annual birth rate of 15.2 per 1,000 people.
How many people die in Guerrero Negro every day?
Approximately 0 deaths occur in Guerrero Negro each day, based on an annual death rate of 6.2 per 1,000 people.
What is the life expectancy in Guerrero Negro?
The average life expectancy in Guerrero Negro is 75.0 years, reflecting overall health conditions, healthcare access, and living standards in the region.
What time zone is Guerrero Negro in?
Guerrero Negro operates in the America/Bahia_Banderas time zone (UTC-6:00). This determines the local time relative to Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).
Is the population of Guerrero Negro growing or shrinking?
Using the national birth and death rates applied by this model, the natural-change component is positive. This does not include migration, so it is not a complete city growth forecast.
πŸ“š Data Sources & Citations
All live counters are statistical estimates derived from these sources. Read our full methodology for formulas, assumptions and limitations.
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