Manila Population 2026

Important: These are model inputs, not a measured city age profile. Country-level birth, death and life-expectancy values are applied to the city baseline because city-level vital statistics are not available consistently for every location in this dataset.

The imported city population is the baseline observation used by this page. We do not present reconstructed historical city populations as observed facts because applying today's national birth/death rates backward would not account for migration, boundary changes or historical rate changes.

If current national birth and death rates stayed constant and migration were ignored, the model would produce 26,243,435 by 2030, 29,861,741 by 2040, and 33,978,921 by 2050. This is a scenario calculation, not an official forecast. It assumes constant rates and excludes migration, boundary changes, policy and economic shifts.

Manila is a megacity located in Philippines. With an estimated population of 24,922,000 people, it represents a significant urban center within the country. The city operates in the Asia/Manila time zone (UTC+8:00), placing it among the cities that share this temporal region.

Demographically, Manila has a growing natural-change estimate. With a birth rate of 19 and a death rate of 6 per 1,000 residents annually, the population is rapidly growing. The average life expectancy stands at 71.0 years, reflecting the overall health and living conditions in the region. The model estimates approximately 473,518 births and 149,532 deaths per year, resulting in a net change of 323,986 people per year.

The live counters on this page provide continuously updated estimates based on these annual rates, calculating births, deaths, and population changes from our baseline data date of 2026-05-20. These figures offer valuable insights into the demographic dynamics of Manila and its position within Philippines's urban landscape.