Live β€Ί Tajikistan β€Ί Dushanbe
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Dushanbe Population 2026

Tajikistan β€’ --:--:--

πŸ“Š Base data: 2026-05-20 β€’ Sources: UN World Population Prospects & World Bank β€’ Model updated May 2026

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Births Today
61
+0.0008/sec
Live
Population
954,479
Estimated
Deaths Today
12
-0.0002/sec
Live
πŸ“
Coordinates
38.573100, 68.786400
πŸ•
Time Zone
Asia/Dushanbe
UTC+5:00
❀️
Life Expectancy
71.0 years
πŸ“Š
Birth / Death Rate
25 / 5
per 1,000 / year
How many people live in Dushanbe? As of September 2026, Dushanbe, Tajikistan has an estimated population of 954,479. Applying national demographic rates to the city baseline gives a model estimate of about 65 births and 13 deaths per day. Average life expectancy is 71.0 years. Figures are estimates based on UN & World Bank demographic rates β€” see methodology.
βœ“ Methodology disclosedDataset/model last materially updated May 20, 2026 Β· Methodology Β· Data Sources
πŸ“ŠMethodology: Live counters estimate births and deaths using annual demographic rates applied to the base population. Births are calculated as (population Γ— birth rate Γ· 1000) Γ· 365.25 Γ· 24 Γ· 60 Γ· 60 per second. Deaths use the same formula with the death rate. Population change is the net difference between cumulative births and deaths since the baseline data date. These are statistical approximations, not live vital-registration data.
⚠️Data Transparency: The population figure for Dushanbe (948,251) comes from our city database (SimpleMaps World Cities Database) and may differ from official census figures. Birth rate (25/1,000) and death rate (5/1,000) are country-level averages from UN World Population Prospects & World Bank applied to all cities in Tajikistan β€” individual city rates may vary. Life expectancy (71.0 yrs) is also a national estimate. Live counters are mathematical estimates from our baseline date (2026-05-20), not live vital-registration. City data: SimpleMaps World Cities Database. Demographic rates: UN World Population Prospects & World Bank. Displayed times use the closest available timezone data and may be approximate for some cities.
⏳ Day Progress β€” 22h 50m passed 95.2%

πŸ“… Data last updated: May 20, 2026 β€’ ⏱️ Counters calculate from this baseline

Demographic Model Inputs

πŸ‘Ά
Birth Rate
25.0
per 1,000 / year Β· national input
πŸ“‰
Death Rate
5.0
per 1,000 / year Β· national input
❀️
Life Expectancy
71.0 yrs
national estimate
🌱
Natural Change
+2.00%
births minus deaths; migration excluded

Important: These are model inputs, not a measured city age profile. Country-level birth, death and life-expectancy values are applied to the city baseline because city-level vital statistics are not available consistently for every location in this dataset.

Yearly Statistics

πŸ‘Ά
Births per Year
23,862
⚰️
Deaths per Year
4,772
πŸ“ˆ
Net Change / Year
+19,090
🌱
Natural Increase
2%

This Year (2026)

Births This Year
7,836
Population
954,479
Deaths This Year
1,567

Baseline & Model Scope

The imported city population is the baseline observation used by this page. We do not present reconstructed historical city populations as observed facts because applying today's national birth/death rates backward would not account for migration, boundary changes or historical rate changes.

Natural-Change Scenario

If current national birth and death rates stayed constant and migration were ignored, the model would produce 1,026,417 by 2030, 1,251,197 by 2040, and 1,525,202 by 2050. This is a scenario calculation, not an official forecast. It assumes constant rates and excludes migration, boundary changes, policy and economic shifts.

Dushanbe is a medium-sized city located in Tajikistan. With an estimated population of 948,251 people, it represents a significant urban center within the country. The city operates in the Asia/Dushanbe time zone (UTC+5:00), placing it among the cities that share this temporal region.

Demographically, Dushanbe has a growing natural-change estimate. With a birth rate of 25 and a death rate of 5 per 1,000 residents annually, the population is rapidly growing. The average life expectancy stands at 71.0 years, reflecting the overall health and living conditions in the region. The model estimates approximately 23,706 births and 4,741 deaths per year, resulting in a net change of 18,965 people per year.

The live counters on this page provide continuously updated estimates based on these annual rates, calculating births, deaths, and population changes from our baseline data date of 2026-05-20. These figures offer valuable insights into the demographic dynamics of Dushanbe and its position within Tajikistan's urban landscape.

Nearby Cities (Within 50km) View Full Page β†’

ℹ️ Distances are calculated using the Haversine formula (straight-line) based on latitude and longitude coordinates. Actual road distances may be significantly longer.

Nearby Cities (Within 100km) View Full Page β†’

ℹ️ Distances are calculated using the Haversine formula (straight-line) based on latitude and longitude coordinates. Actual road distances may be significantly longer.

Nearby Cities (Within 200km) View Full Page β†’

ℹ️ Distances are calculated using the Haversine formula (straight-line) based on latitude and longitude coordinates. Actual road distances may be significantly longer.

Related Cities

Other Cities in Same Time Zone

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current population of Dushanbe?
The estimated population of Dushanbe is 954,479 as of our latest baseline data. Live counters update this estimate in real time based on birth and death rates.
How many people are born in Dushanbe every day?
Approximately 65 babies are born in Dushanbe each day, based on an annual birth rate of 25 per 1,000 people.
How many people die in Dushanbe every day?
Approximately 13 deaths occur in Dushanbe each day, based on an annual death rate of 5 per 1,000 people.
What is the life expectancy in Dushanbe?
The average life expectancy in Dushanbe is 71.0 years, reflecting overall health conditions, healthcare access, and living standards in the region.
What time zone is Dushanbe in?
Dushanbe operates in the Asia/Dushanbe time zone (UTC+5:00). This determines the local time relative to Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).
Is the population of Dushanbe growing or shrinking?
Using the national birth and death rates applied by this model, the natural-change component is positive. This does not include migration, so it is not a complete city growth forecast.
πŸ“š Data Sources & Citations
All live counters are statistical estimates derived from these sources. Read our full methodology for formulas, assumptions and limitations.
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