Naryn Population 2026

Important: These are model inputs, not a measured city age profile. Country-level birth, death and life-expectancy values are applied to the city baseline because city-level vital statistics are not available consistently for every location in this dataset.

The imported city population is the baseline observation used by this page. We do not present reconstructed historical city populations as observed facts because applying today's national birth/death rates backward would not account for migration, boundary changes or historical rate changes.

If current national birth and death rates stayed constant and migration were ignored, the model would produce 23,071 by 2030, 28,123 by 2040, and 34,282 by 2050. This is a scenario calculation, not an official forecast. It assumes constant rates and excludes migration, boundary changes, policy and economic shifts.

Naryn is a city located in Tajikistan. With an estimated population of 21,314 people, it represents a significant urban center within the country. The city operates in the Asia/Dushanbe time zone (UTC+5:00), placing it among the cities that share this temporal region.

Demographically, Naryn has a growing natural-change estimate. With a birth rate of 25 and a death rate of 5 per 1,000 residents annually, the population is rapidly growing. The average life expectancy stands at 71.0 years, reflecting the overall health and living conditions in the region. The model estimates approximately 533 births and 107 deaths per year, resulting in a net change of 426 people per year.

The live counters on this page provide continuously updated estimates based on these annual rates, calculating births, deaths, and population changes from our baseline data date of 2026-05-20. These figures offer valuable insights into the demographic dynamics of Naryn and its position within Tajikistan's urban landscape.